Scott Parker could be England’s key man on Friday
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England head into their final Euro 2012 qualifier in Group G aware that a point earned against Montenegro at Podgorica Stadium will ensure their place at next summer’s finals.
Fabio Capello’s side are currently top of Group G, six points ahead of Friday’s opponents. Montenegro have a game in hand over England, which will be played next Tuesday away to third-placed Switzerland.
The Three Lions made it five wins from seven qualifying matches with an unconvincing 1-0 home victory over Wales in September as Ashley Young grabbed the decisive goal at Wembley; Montenegro’s last outing was also against the Welsh, but they slipped to a 2-1 loss.
That defeat spelled the end for head coach Zlatko Kranjcar as a return of one point from their last two qualifiers paved the way for Branko Brnovic to be promoted from his position as assistant ahead of their remaining crunch matches. Montenegro’s destiny is in their hands, as scalps of England and Switzerland would assure progression to the tournament in Poland and Ukraine.
Manchester United defender Chris Smalling, who played at right back against Wales, misses out with a groin injury, meaning Micah Richards, Kyle Walker and Phil Jagielka will battle it out for a place in a defence also comprising Gary Cahill, John Terry and Ashley Cole.
Scott Parker was not included in Capello’s starting XI against the Welsh as the Tottenham midfielder was a booking away from a suspension that would have ruled him out of the trip to Montenegro. He is expected to return to the team on Friday, with James Milner or Frank Lampard the most likely to make way, despite the Chelsea man’s hat-trick at the weekend.
Capello must decide whether to provide Wayne Rooney with a striking partner, as Danny Welbeck pushes for a place in the side after shining alongside his Manchester United team-mate at club level this season. Should Rooney be played in a lone role then it is expected Young will play off the forward, while Theo Walcott and Stewart Downing should occupy the wide positions.
England and Montenegro locked horns in October last year and played out a goalless stalemate, though the former may fancy their chances this time around as the Three Lions’ away form has been stronger than that on their home turf, with Capello citing a lack of confidence at Wembley.
Montenegro player to watch: Stevan Jovetic. After seeing his 2010-11 campaign struck off by a serious knee injury, the Fiorentina forward has returned to action this season with renewed vigour. In five appearances for Fiorentina in Serie A this term, Jovetic, 21, has scored twice and assisted as many to help his club into the top half of the table. Jovetic is highly rated by Fiorentina, who are presently looking to tie him down on a new deal amid reported interest from some of Europe’s top sides. Jovetic, who boasts acceleration and flair, will be seeking to further add to his reputation with an eye-catching display against England.
England player to watch: Scott Parker. The Spurs midfielder has proved a fine addition for his club since signing from West Ham for £5 million in the summer. Indeed, the 2011 FWA Footballer of the Year impressed against Arsenal at the weekend with a typically combative display. Capello clearly values Parker, after erring on the side of caution by taking him out of his starting line-up against Wales as he was on the verge of a suspension, and the ball-winning midfielder will be eager to repay that faith with a disciplined display against the Montenegrins, his energy and breaking up of the play likely to be vital.
Key Battle: Mirko Vucinic v Gary Cahill. Vucinic’s club Juventus, whom he joined from Roma in the summer, are currently top of the Serie A table, with the striker featuring in three of their opening five matches, managing an assist and goal in those outings. The striker, 28, is also his country’s top goalscorer in qualifying, notching twice so far. Bolton’s Cahill needs to be on his toes throughout as Vucinic oozes smart movement off the ball. It can be argued that Cahill heads into the match in poor form, his club having conceded 21 times – the worst record in the Premier League. While Cahill is not solely responsible for the Trotters’ poor start to the season, he has failed to look as convincing as in previous seasons.
Trivia: Montenegro were admitted into FIFA in 2007, the year after they declared independence from Serbia.
Stats: Montenegro have scored no more than one goal in their last seven matches while England have conceded just once on their travels during qualifying.
Odds: Montenegro (5.50), England (3.50) and the draw (1.66) are available with bet365, while Wayne Rooney to score two or more goals (6.50) is a tempting bet.
Prediction: It being England, expect a nervy 90 minutes. That said, with a draw enough for Capello’s side to book their tickets for Euro 2012, coupled with their knack for playing better on foreign soil, the Three Lions should have enough to hold off their opponents for at least a draw, with Montenegro limp in front of goal this qualifying campaign.